The Great Inflation
The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking
9780226066950
9780226043555
The Great Inflation
The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking
Controlling inflation is among the most important objectives of economic policy. By maintaining price stability, policy makers are able to reduce uncertainty, improve price-monitoring mechanisms, and facilitate more efficient planning and allocation of resources, thereby raising productivity.
This volume focuses on understanding the causes of the Great Inflation of the 1970s and ’80s, which saw rising inflation in many nations, and which propelled interest rates across the developing world into the double digits. In the decades since, the immediate cause of the period’s rise in inflation has been the subject of considerable debate. Among the areas of contention are the role of monetary policy in driving inflation and the implications this had both for policy design and for evaluating the performance of those who set the policy. Here, contributors map monetary policy from the 1960s to the present, shedding light on the ways in which the lessons of the Great Inflation were absorbed and applied to today’s global and increasingly complex economic environment.
544 pages | 10 halftones, 84 line drawings, 35 tables | 6 x 9 | © 2013
National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report
Economics and Business: Economics--Government Finance, Economics--International and Comparative
Reviews
Table of Contents
Introduction
Michael D. Bordo and Athanasios Orphanides
Michael D. Bordo and Athanasios Orphanides
Panel Session I: Pioneering Central Bankers Remember
Practical Experiences in Reducing Inflation: The Case of New Zealand
Don Brash
Don Brash
Practical Experience in Reducing Inflation: The Case of Canada
John Crow
John Crow
Discussion
I. Early Explanations
1. The Great Inflation: Did the Shadow Know Better?
William Poole, Robert H. Rasche, and David C. Wheelock
Comment: Christina D. Romer
Discussion
2. The Supply-Shock Explanation of the Great Stagflation Revisited
Alan S. Blinder and Jeremy B. Rudd
Discussion
Alan S. Blinder and Jeremy B. Rudd
Discussion
II. New Monetary Policy Explanations
3. The Great Inflation Drift
Marvin Goodfriend and Robert G. King
Comment: Lars E. O. Svensson
Discussion
4. Falling Behind the Curve: A Positive Analysis of Stop-Start Monetary Policies and the Great Inflation
Andrew Levin and John B. Taylor
Comment: Bennett T. McCallum
Discussion
Andrew Levin and John B. Taylor
Comment: Bennett T. McCallum
Discussion
5. Monetary Policy Mistakes and the Evolution of Inflation Expectations
Athanasios Orphanides and John C. Williams
Comment: Seppo Honkapohja
Discussion
Athanasios Orphanides and John C. Williams
Comment: Seppo Honkapohja
Discussion
III. Other Countries’ Perspectives
6. Opting Out of the Great Inflation: German Monetary Policy after the Breakdown of Bretton Woods
Andreas Beyer, Vitor Gaspar, Christina Gerberding, and Otmar Issing
Comment: Benjamin M. Friedman
Discussion
7. Great Inflation and Central Bank Independence in Japan
Takatoshi Ito
Comment: Frederic S. Mishkin
Takatoshi Ito
Comment: Frederic S. Mishkin
8. The Great Inflation in the United States and the United Kingdom: Reconciling Policy Decisions and Data Outcomes
Riccardo DiCecio and Edward Nelson
Comment: Matthew D. Shapiro
Discussion
Riccardo DiCecio and Edward Nelson
Comment: Matthew D. Shapiro
Discussion
IV. International Perspectives
9. Bretton Woods and the Great Inflation
Michael D. Bordo and Barry Eichengreen
Comment: Allan H. Meltzer
Discussion
Panel Session II: Lessons from History
Lessons from History
Donald L. Kohn
Donald L. Kohn
The Great Inflation: Lessons for Central Bank
Lucas Papademos
Lucas Papademos
Understanding Inflation: Lessons of the Past for the Future
Harold James
Harold James
Discussion
Contributors
Author Index
Subject Index
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